Our upcoming work

We're never standing still – find out about the advice we will be delivering and where you will have the opportunity to feed into our work.

Overview

The Commission's role is to produce independent advice to the Government on the direction of policy that will enable Aotearoa New Zealand to respond and achieve a low-emissions, climate-resilient future. We produce a wide range of advice to Government – from advice on the direction of emissions reduction plans and emissions budgets, to a review of Aotearoa New Zealand’s climate targets, through to monitoring Government’s progress on climate mitigation and climate adaptation.

Engagement and consultation: how you can get involved

Engagement is at the heart of what we do, and there are many opportunities to feed into our work. We engage widely with people on our advice, and some of our work also involves formal public consultation. We keep this page updated with the latest information about opportunities to get involved as we lock in details for each of these pieces of advice.

As always, if you would like to speak to us, please send us an email at hello@climatecommission.govt.nz.

Our forward work programme

Deliverable
Key dates

Advice on ETS unit limits and price control settings for 2025–2029

Intended delivery date: March 2024
(for public release before the NZ ETS auction on 20 March 2024)

Read more

Provide advice for preparation of emissions budgets

Consultation: 8 April – 31 May 2024

Delivery date: December 2024

Read more

Review of inclusion of emissions from international shipping and aviation in 2050 target

Consultation: 8 April – 31 May 2024

Delivery date: December 2024

Read more

Review of the 2050 Emissions Target

Consultation: 8 April – 31 May 2024

Delivery date: December 2024

Read more

Monitor and report on progress towards meeting emissions budgets, emissions reduction plans and the 2050 target

Delivery dates:

  • First annual progress report due mid 2024

  • First end-of-period progress report due 2027

Read more

Progress reports on the National Adaptation Plans

Delivery date: August 2024

Read more

Advice to inform the second Nationally Determined Contribution

Delivery date: December 2024

Read more

Our forward work programme

Deliverable & Key dates
Advice on ETS unit limits and price control settings for 2025–2029

Intended delivery date: March 2024
(for public release before the NZ ETS auction on 20 March 2024)

Read more

Provide advice for preparation of emissions budgets

Consultation: 8 April – 31 May 2024

Delivery date: December 2024

Read more

Review of inclusion of emissions from international shipping and aviation in 2050 target

Consultation: 8 April – 31 May 2024

Delivery date: December 2024

Read more

Review of the 2050 Emissions Target

Consultation: 8 April – 31 May 2024

Delivery date: December 2024

Read more

Monitor and report on progress towards meeting emissions budgets, emissions reduction plans and the 2050 target

Delivery dates:

  • First annual progress report due mid 2024

  • First end-of-period progress report due 2027

Read more

Progress reports on the National Adaptation Plans

Delivery date: August 2024

Read more

Advice to inform the second Nationally Determined Contribution

Delivery date: December 2024

Read more

Work descriptions


Advice on ETS unit limits and price control settings for 2025–2029

Intended delivery date: March 2024

Each year, the Commission must provide advice to Minister on the New Zealand Emissions Trading Scheme (NZ ETS), including recommending limits on units available each year in the NZ ETS, and price control settings. The Commission’s advice on this will cover a rolling five-year period, with settings recommended for each year.

The purpose of our advice is to help ensure that the NZ ETS operates effectively and in accordance with the emissions budgets, nationally determined contributions, and the 2050 target (as set out in the Climate Change Response Act 2002). Our advice feeds into the Government’s annual update of the regulations that set limits and price control settings for the NZ ETS.

We intend to provide our next advice to the Minister of Climate Change in early March 2024, and to publish it on our website prior to the first NZ ETS auction of the year, which takes place on 20 March 2024.

Browse our previous advice on the NZ ETS.

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Monitor and report on progress towards meeting emissions budgets, emissions reduction plans and the 2050 target

First annual report due mid 2024

First periodic report due 2027

The Commission has an important role in monitoring and reviewing Aotearoa New Zealand's progress towards its emissions reduction goals. That includes monitoring progress towards meeting emissions budgets, emissions reduction plans and the 2050 target. The insights and lessons learned from monitoring can in turn help inform the Commission’s future advice on opportunities to reduce emissions, limitations in Aotearoa New Zealand's approach and gaps in progress.

The Climate Change Response Act 2002 provides that there are two aspects to the Commission's monitoring function.

First, the Commission will provide an annual progress report that will include, for the most recent year of the emissions budget period for which data is available:

  • measured emissions and removals for that year;
  • the latest projections of current and future emissions and removals; and
  • an assessment of the adequacy of the Government’s Emissions Reduction Plan and progress in its implementation, including any new opportunities to reduce emissions.

The Commission’s first annual progress report is due in mid-2024, timed to follow the release of the New Zealand Greenhouse Gas Inventory report.

Second, the Commission will provide a report at the end of each emissions budget period (approximately every five years), evaluating progress made in an emissions budget period, including:

  • an evaluation of how well the emissions reduction plan has contributed to progress;
  • recommendations on any banking and borrowing across emissions budgets that would be appropriate; and
  • an assessment of the amount of offshore mitigation required to meet the emissions budget for that period.

These less frequent reports must be prepared no later than two years after the end of the relevant emissions budget period.  With New Zealand’s first emissions budget covering the period 2022–2025, the first of these retrospective reports is expected to come out in 2027.

With the Commission’s early focus having been on the provision of advice, it is now turning attention to the scope and shape of its monitoring function, in preparation for reporting in 2024. We expect that identifying the right things to measure and monitor at a wide systems level, and how best to do that, will be a learning journey. There are experiences and lessons from others internationally, but we will need to create a monitoring function that reflects Aotearoa New Zealand’s own unique circumstances.

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Progress reports on the National Adaptation Plans

Due August 2024

Every two years, the Commission will provide a progress report on the implementation, progress and effectiveness of the Government’s National Adaptation Plan. The first progress report is due in August 2024.

Each progress report must:

  • assess the progress of implementation of the Plan
  • judge how well the Plan achieves its objectives and responds to risks
  • identify barriers to implementation and effectiveness, and how those can be managed
  • include any other relevant matters
  • consider the issues, where relevant, listed under section 5M of the Climate Change Response Act.

Over the next 12 months, we will be focused on building enduring relationships with our adaptation stakeholders and gathering the evidence we need as part of this role. We will be developing our approach to monitoring the Government’s progress on adaptation, including what our monitoring framework and criteria will be, and how it aligns with our mitigation monitoring work. We are looking at how others in Aotearoa New Zealand and internationally have approached similar tasks to learn from their experiences.

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Provide advice for preparation of emissions budgets

Due December 2024

Every five years, the Commission produces independent expert advice on what the emissions budgets should be to help Aotearoa New Zealand meet the 2050 emissions reductions target. In our first advice to Government, Ināia tonu nei, we provided advice on the first three emissions budgets (from 2022 to 2035). These have now been set by Government.

We are preparing our advice for the fourth emissions budget (for the period 2036–2040). We will be consulting on this advice 8 April – 31 May 2024.

We advise the Minister on:

  • The recommended quantity of emissions in the next budget period, stating the amount by which emissions of each greenhouse gas should be reduced to meet the relevant emissions budget and the 2050 target
  • The rules that will apply to measure progress towards meeting the emissions budget and the 2050 target.
  • How the emissions budget, and the 2050 target, may realistically be met, including by pricing and policy methods.
  • the proportions of an emissions budget that is to be met by domestic emissions reductions and domestic removals alongside the appropriate limit on offshore mitigation that may be used to meet an emissions budget

In providing emissions budget advice, we have regard to a number of matters, including whether the budget we are advising on is technically and economically achievable. The exact matters that we must consider are set out in section 5ZC of the Climate Change Response Act.

When we prepare emissions budget advice, we will also assess if there is a need to revise any notified emissions budgets (that have not yet started) due to methodological changes in the way emissions are measured and reported or significant changes to the considerations on which the emissions budget was based.

Read more about this area of work.

 

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Review of inclusion of emissions from international shipping and aviation in 2050 target

Due December 2024

Currently, the 2050 target includes emissions from domestic shipping and domestic aviation (which are covered by the Paris Agreement) but excludes emissions from shipping and aviation to and from Aotearoa New Zealand. Globally, international aviation emissions are being addressed within the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) and international shipping emissions are being addressed by the International Maritime Organization (IMO).

We will be consulting on this advice 8 April – 31 May 2024.

The Commission will provide advice on whether the 2050 target should be amended to include emissions from international shipping and aviation, and if so, how the target should be amended. This advice must be provided by 31 December 2024.

Read more about this area of work.

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Review the 2050 Emissions Targets

Due December 2024

The Commission must review emissions budgets every five years starting in 2024. At the same time as this, we must provide independent expert advice on whether any changes should be made to Aotearoa New Zealand’s legislated 2050 targets. These could be changes to what the targets are, what gases they apply to, when the targets have to be met by, and how much can be met in Aotearoa New Zealand or paid for overseas.

We will be consulting on this advice 8 April – 31 May 2024.

Read more about this area of work.

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Advice to inform the second Nationally Determined Contribution

Due December 2024

Every country needs to set a Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) under the Paris Agreement, which aims to limit the global average temperature increase to well below 2 degrees and to pursue efforts to limit it to 1.5 degrees above preindustrial levels.

On 9 October 2023, the Minister of Climate Change confirmed his request for advice to help inform Aotearoa New Zealand's second NDC. This must be set by 2025 and will be the country’s international commitment to reducing net greenhouse gas emissions from 2031–2035. This request from the Minister was made under section 5K of the Climate Change Response Act.

Read more about this area of work.

 

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